Oil and Gas: An Open Letter To Mr President John Pombe Magufuli

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TANZANIA MINES GAS/ENERGY AND OIL FORUM (TMGOF)
Media Department

TANZANIA MINES GAS AND OIL COMPANY LTD (TMGOL)
Registered Company

TMGOFLOGO_LARGE

TMGOF Centre of Extracts of Information for Extractive Industry
and
TMGOL Sponsor of Tomorrow in tapping Local Content Opportuniti

Dear

Mr. President John Pombe Magufuli

OPEN LETTER TO MR. PRESIDENT JOHN POMBE MAGUFULI
( CONCERNING OIL AND GAS )

Dear Mr. President Magufuli, Tanzania Mines, Gas and Oil Co. Ltd are 100% Tanzanian company with its own forum called Tanzania Mines, Gas/Energy and Oil Forum. Our mission is to promote our natural resources by organizing oil, gas and mines conference & Exhibition with the aim of being the sponsor of tomorrow economy in our country for the intention of tapping local content opportunities.

Mr. President you have demonstrated revered leadership in standing up for all Tanzanian. In moderation, I believe smart people, strategic plan can help us measure our progress in oil and gas sector today and in near future.

Mr. President in this Open letter I would like to share with you the story about the leader of a Middle Eastern nation was given a global competitiveness report showing that his country, despite being a major oil exporter, ranked very low in terms of global competitiveness. Investors were simply not prepared to invest in his country, except for a few dodgy characters. Foreign currency reserves were low, and young people were unemployed and roaming the streets.

First, he called in some senior politicians and asked what they thought of the report. Some said it was a hoax designed to embarrass the country. Others said it was the work of their enemies who wanted to steal their oil. Yet others said it was simply not true.

Then the leader quietly called one of the country’s leading business leaders. “Your Highness, do you really want to know the truth?” the man asked.  After listening to the business leader, the ruler of the country asked him to make recommendations to correct the situation. Using this “data,” they made bold changes to the laws of their country. Some laws in place for generations were simply repealed. The ruler retrained or removed civil servants and other regulators who were hostile to business and investment.

Mr. President you will be taking crucial decisions on the future of Tanzania in Oil and Gas for the benefit of Tanzanian and by considering climate change. Making the right choices now is critical to developing a policy that protects the climate and give chance Tanzanian to invest in oil and gas.

We would like to share with you some points that, we believe, will help in reaching such important decisions:

  1. There is the need for the TANZANIAN OIL & GAS SERVICE COUNCIL to represent the interests of Oil and Gas Service Providers in Tanzania with key mission to promote the capabilities of the Tanzanian Service Providers and showcase Tanzania as the regional hub for the Oil & Gas Industry. To achieve that, any policy should strive for technology neutrality and should phase out subsidies.
  • There is need to have country website and center unit for Oil and Gas which will help local investors to get all information in one place which will be under TANZANIAN OIL & GAS SERVICE COUNCIL. We believe this Council will run its activities independent without depend much in government fund.
  1. Choose one target and keep as the policy’s cornerstone. This Council may be one of the last chances to reconsider targets. This would be a significant step towards ensuring that gas plays a meaningful role in electricity production.
  • Gas emits roughly half the CO2 of coal: by taking one simple step policy – when calculating the emissions for the proposed natural gas power plants, please make the total as accurate as possible by including all emission sources — including those from natural gas extraction, production, processing, compression and delivery.
  1. Recognize the critical role that natural gas has to play in keeping the lights on: the more intermittent renewable energy comes on-stream, the greater the requirement for other energy sources which are capable of balancing them and guarding against a deterioration of supply security. Gas power plants are the best option available: they are reliable and flexible and in securing energy supply to keep citizens warm. With a fully integrated internal energy market, gas would be able to move freely throughout the Tanzania, improve Tanzania’s security of supply and contribute to greater energy efficiency.
  1. Recognize the contribution local of company and investors. There is the need for local investors to invest in this new sector whether by themselves or government support considering the factors of the country being powerfully economically.
  1. Support and facilitate more oil and gas exploration in Tanzania.
  • Tanzania still holds significant potential country in East Africa for this new sector of Oil and Gas: Current conditions have seen TPDC exploration activities with the good initiative to develop our country in this new sector.
  • To develop that untapped potential, we need predictable national fiscal and regulatory frameworks. While we should avoid unnecessary legislation, policies encouraging the role of oil and gas in the future Tanzania energy mix can help to trigger more investment – for the benefit of Tanzania’s security of supply, industrial competitiveness and economic growth.

We hope that these few points will help to enrich the discussion. We believe that they would move the Tanzania closer to reaching its goals, without drifting us & local investors away from the objective of a prosperous and sustainable. My team and I remain at your disposal for any further clarification you may want on any of these issues.

Respectfully,

Peter S. Hermes
Managing Director
Tanzania Mines, Gas/Energy and Oil Forum
Reg No: 114957
Email: peter.stephen@aiesec.net
Mobile: +255-755-503612
Website: www.tmgof.or.tz
Extension Media: www.tanzaniapetroleum.com

Cc:

Permanent Secretary
Ministry Of Energy and Minerals
P.O.Box 2000
DSM

 

Managing Director
Tanzania Petroleum Development Cooperation
P.O.Box 2000
DSM

 

Chairman of the TMGOL Board
Tanzania Mines, Gas and Oil Company Ltd
P.O.Box 54446
DSM

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OPEN LETTER TO MR. PRESIDENT

Delays in Mnazi Bay gas supplied to be resolved in Q1-2016

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MNAZI BAY

Wenthworth, an East Africa-focussed oil and gas company, anticipates that all of the power plant projects in Tanzania that utilize utilise Mnazi Bay gas for the generation of electricity will become fully operational during the first quarter of this year. This includes the $1.3 billion Mtwara gas power project (400 MW) that is backed by the US President’s ‘Power Africa Initiative’.

Admitting delays in gas production in Q4-2015, Wenthworth stressed that gas supplies are now being ramped up. The AIM-listed company in September 2014 agreed with the Tanzanian government to deliver up to 130 mmcf/day of gas from the Mnazi Bay concession to the new state-owned, transnational pipeline with initial volumes in Q3-2015.

At present, gross gas production into the pipeline averages 46 million cubic feet per day (MMcbf/d), with production meant to rise to 55 MMcbt/d before the end of this year.

Delays in gas supply pushed back the commissioning dates of the Kinyerezi power plant and the conversion of the Ubungo plant. It also impacts the much-observed Mtwara plant, to be realised through a public-private partnership between Symbion Power and Tanzania Electric Supply Company (TANESCO). Construction is due to start this spring year for the plant to be commissioned as early as 2018.

Wenthworth says these delays “are expected to be short-term” so all gas-to-power plant depending on Mnazi Bay gas supply should get enough fuel to start full commercial operation in Q1-2016. Gas production at the concession, in south-eastern Tanzania bordering the Ruvuma River, are anticipated to reach 70-80 MMcbf/day in the first quarter of this year and to remain around this range thereafter.

Aspirations to close power deficit this year

Tanzania is at the brink of an energy crisis. Independent power producers such as Sonagas have repeatedly called on the national grid operator TANESCO to settle outstanding debts and pay them on time for the provision of contracted electricity to the grid. Otherwise, Sonagas may opt to gradually suspend operations at its Ubungo power plant.

Technical experts at TANESCO warned of an imminent power crisis due to rising operational costs during the winter season. The state-owned utility is allegedly operating at a loss since domestic electricity tariffs were lowered in February 2015, as it covers part of its oil and gas needs through costly imports.

Peak power demand currently is merely 900 MW, as many regions only sparsely electrified. Just 24% of Tanzania’s population of 45 million people is connected to the power grid, but the government wants to increase this share to 30% this year

The East African nation can currently draw on 1,490 MW of installed capacity – though much of this is temporarily lying idle – but the National Five-Year Development Plan foresees a target of 2,780 MW by end-2016. Trying to stay optimistic, the government suggested it would be possible to close the 1,290 MW generating capacity deficit.

To improve gas supplies to existing gas power plants, the government in mid-2015 freed up $1.2 billion (Tsh.2.4 trillion) that is partly used to build a gas pipeline from Mtwara to Dar es Salaam while the remainder goes towards the construction of a power plant at Kinyerezi in Dar

Tanzania secures site for LNG, but FID still far off

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lng plant

The developers of Tanzania’s LNG project should soon be able to start pre-FEED work on the planned 10 mtpa plant at Lindi now the title deed for the land at the project site has been acquired.

While the location of the project in southeast Tanzania was decided some time ago, the joint venture company – a consortium of ExxonMobil, Statoil, BG Group, Ophir Energy and Pavilion Energy – could not move forward with planning because they could not gain access to the site.

The news was announced with little fanfare on the website of the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corp. (TPDC) on 23 December, and the IOCs have not yet been formally informed about the deal.

The statement said TPDC had acquired the title deed to the land for the LNG project, with a total of 20,172 hectares set aside for the facility and a further 17,000 hectares nearby to be reserved for industrial use.

However, questions remain as to how much compensation – if any – was offered for the land.

The way in which the land would be evaluated proved a contentious issue in the run-up to Tanzania’s elections, which were held in late October. Much of the proposed project site was owned by influential businessman Mohammed Dewji, chief executive of METL group and, until last year, an MP for the ruling CCM party.

According to local press reports on 23 December, Prime Minister Kassim Majaliwa stated in a public meeting in Lindi that the title had been revoked for the land, which was owned by Tasco, a company controlled by METL.

There was no mention of compensation having been paid. However, with CCM’s victory secured, negotiators may have been less cautious in pushing forward with deal less favourable to Dewji.

There is also uncertainty over which areas have been secured. Interfax understands the project site lies across Lindi Municipality and the neighbouring Lindi Rural District. However, the statement issued by TPDC refers only to land secured in the municipality, with no mention of areas in the neighbouring district.

Progress will be slow

Developers in Tanzania have expressed frustration over the lack of government engagementand the slow pace of progress on the LNG project, with Dodoma dragging its feet over the land purchase deal while it prepared for elections.

While the startup of Tanzania LNG will still likely lag several years behind that of neighbouring Mozambique, Tanzanian President John Magufuli’s efforts to speed up cabinet decision-making and finally push forward with the project will come as a big relief to the industry.

“Magufuli has so far shown himself to be a ‘man of action’, sacking under-performing officials in priority sectors, and this dynamism has likely had an impact on the gas sector,” Emma Gordon, a senior Africa analyst at Verisk Maplecroft, told Interfax.

Magufuli’s reappointment of Sospeter Muhongo, an experienced geologist with a thorough understanding of the industry, as energy and minerals minister has also been seen as a positive move by investors – although it has raised a few eyebrows.

Muhongo was forced to resign at the beginning of last year following his alleged involvement in the illicit transfer of at least $122 million of public funds from an escrow account held jointly by Tanzania’s state power company Tanesco and Independent Power Tanzania (IPT) to IPT’s owner Pan Africa Power in 2013.

“[However], an investigation cleared him of involvement in the scandal and as a hard worker he is exactly the sort of man Magufuli would be expected to have in his cabinet,” said Chris McKeon, an Africa researcher at Verisk Maplecroft.

His appointment has still sparked anger from opposition MPs, including CHADEMA politician Tundu Lissu and Ibrahim Lipumba, the chairman of the Civic United Front, who have both raised the issue of the escrow account.

On a more personal level, Muhongo’s arrogant attitude is also said to have riled a number of key stakeholders, including civil society figures, politicians, oil companies and other private sector investors.

He will need to rebuild these relationships if he is going to push the LNG project forward. With global oil prices and LNG demand still low, and competitors in Mozambique, Australia and the United States all bringing similar projects online, circumstances are working against Tanzania.

With the marketing, project structure and participation agreements still outstanding, progress on the project will remain slow, Mansur Mohammed, manager of South and East Africa upstream oil and gas research at Wood Mackenzie, told Interfax.

“The project is still a long way away from being sanctioned. FID won’t be before 2019,” he added.

Amnex has signed Gas Sales Agreement For Kiliwani North field

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AMNEX

Aminex (LON:AEX) has revealed that it now has a signed gas sales agreement for the Kiliwani North gas field.

The long-awaited receipt of the key document means the company can begin production and generate its first revenues from Tanzania.

Gas is to be sold initially for US$3 per mmbtu (mln British thermal units), which equates to about US$3.07 per thousand cubic feet. The agreement includes the provision for the indexation of the gas sales price from January 2016.

It is a take-or-pay arrangement, includes payment security mechanisms and came into effect as of December 31 2015.

The company told investors that it is now making final preparations before starting production.

During the commissioning and testing phase, where gas will be produced at variable rates, the company will invoice for the produced gas. A start date for commercial production will be mutually agreed between Aminex and the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC).

“Achieving this agreement has been a long time coming but the final version is comprehensive and will allow production to commence with clarity and security,” said chief executive Jay Bhattacherjee.

“We are grateful to shareholders for their support and patience.

“With a mix of production from Kiliwani North and upcoming appraisal and development drilling in the highly prospective Ruvuma basin, we consider Aminex to be well placed for further growth.”

Neil Ritson, chairman of Kiliwani North stakeholder Solo Oil (LON:SOLO), meanwhile, said: “We are delighted to start 2016 with the milestone signing of the Kiliwani North Gas Sales Agreement.

“Gas production can now start, leading to the first revenues from our investments in Tanzania. We also look forward to further successes in Tanzania during 2016 with the planned appraisal drilling on the Ntorya discovery in the Ruvuma PSC.”

Aminex is the project operator with a 55.575% interest in Kiliwani North, while Solo Oil currently owns 6.175% (with the option to acquire a further 6.175%). The other partners are RAK Gas LLC (23.75%), Bounty Oil & Gas (9.5%), and TPDC (5%).

Kiliwani North is estimated to have 44 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas initially in place, of which 28 bcf is expected to be reclassified as proven reserves upon the start of commercial production.

Bg Group Open 2016 Scholarship For Tanzanians

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BG-scholarships-325x244

The annual BG Group scholarship that offers 10 scholarships each year to Tanzanian graduates to study for Masters of Science degrees for Geoscience and Engineering in UK universities has opened its 2016 applications.

The scholarship covers a range of 23 taught courses relevant to the oil and gas sector are available at four UK universities: Aberdeen University, Heriot Watt University, Cranfield University and Robert Gordon University.

The BG Tanzania funded scheme aims to impact Tanzanians with requisite relevant technical skills in the emerging natural gas sector. Upon successful completion of one of the courses included in the Scheme, beneficiaries have the potential to qualify for participation in BG Group’s International Graduate Development Programme.

BG University of Dar es Salaam schemeBG Tanzania’s social investment programme in Higher Education has three components including: the international scholarship scheme, a new national scholarship pilot scheme implemented in Tanzania in 2015 and provision of institutional support to the Geology Department of the University of Dar es Salaam (UDSM).

“BG Tanzania’s Higher Education programme is designed to deliver a pipeline of postgraduates from which the industry can recruit, while at the same time also generating valuable information that helps us and others to contribute to strengthening the country’s higher education institutions (HEIs),” the explorer says on its website.

The scholarships – funded by BG Tanzania and administered by the British Council – cover the cost of academic fees, travel, living expenses and pastoral support while the graduates are in the UK. Successful candidates will also be provided support when applying for a visa.

Scholarships are granted for a maximum period of 12 months, for courses starting in September 2016.

The deadline for applying for a scholarship award under this Scheme is 15 March 2016 after which applicants will be shortlisted and invited for interviews, and the final selection of scholars will be announced by April 2016.

In Tanzania BG Group is the operator of two offshore blocks and has discovered around 16 tcf of total gross resource in 9 discovery wells including: (Block 1) Chaza, Jodari, Jodari North, Mkizi, Mzia, Taachui and in Chewa, Ngisi ,Pweza wells in Block 4.

Tanzania to Sell off Minority Stake in Tanesco

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electrical-pylon-1529398

 

The government of Tanzania is looking to sell off up to 49% stake in country’s utility company Tanesco, keeping a 51% controlling stake. Energy and Minerals Minister, Sospeter Muhongo, told the EastAfrican newspaper that the state would split Tanesco’s assets into separate generation, transmission, and distribution units for the sale.

In addition it was revealed that the state-run utility would see around $1.2 billion in investment to aid in boosting electricity production to 10,000 MW by 2025, up from the current 1,400 MW.

“We invite local investors capable of generating 100 MW to 5,000 MW or more to come up. This will ensure the country has sufficient power supply for 10 or 20 years to come,” Muhongo said. Investors are being encouraged to generate electricity from coal, gas, hydro, solar, wind, and thermal to realize an energy mix that delivers reliable and cheap power.

Export pipeline needed for east Africa production boom

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pipeline

pipeline

 

With recoverable oil reserve estimates of approximately 750 and 600 MMbbl in Uganda and Kenya respectively, and with government share of the reserves expected to be about 30–50%, the potential impact on economic development in these countries could be great.

However, new infrastructure, including an export pipeline, is required to enable commercialization of these discoveries, says an analyst with research and consulting firm GlobalData.

Overall oil production in Uganda is forecast to peak at about 200,000 b/d by 2023, while Kenya’s production is estimated to reach approximately 85,000 b/d by 2027, provided the export pipeline is in place. According to Jonathan Markham,

GlobalData’s upstream oil and gas analyst, while a range of possible pipeline routes to ports in Lamu, Mombasa or Tanga have been proposed, upstream development in the region has stalled due to a lack of progress in developing an export route for these inland discoveries. “Operators have been lobbying for an export pipeline since the discoveries were made to enable development of the area,” said Markham.

Read also:Oil refinery worthwhile investment in Tanzanian Oil and gas sector

“Tullow Oil and Africa Oil have cautiously welcomed progress made in agreeing a pipeline route from Uganda through northern Kenya to Lamu, but Total prefers routes further south, citing security concerns in northern Kenya.”

The analyst adds that the development of an export pipeline would also be a driver for upstream exploration in the region.

Some blocks have already been licensed by governments in central and eastern Africa, but the remote locations have dampened interest from major oil companies.

Read also The ultimate guide to invest in Tanzanian oil and gas sector

“Current license holders view new basin exploration as an area with high growth potential, with South Sudan, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo all possible beneficiaries of new pipeline routes,” said Markham.

“Discoveries in Kenya and Uganda have favorable subsurface characteristics and relatively low exploration and appraisal costs compared with the deepwater dominated exploration in West Africa. Estimated full-cycle capital expenditure per barrel for these upstream developments is about US$8–12, which is increasingly enticing, as the oil and gas industry cuts back on costs. However, without an economical export route, the inland discoveries will remain commercially unviable at current oil prices.”

Tanzania Settles On LNG Facility Location

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LNG

Tanzania will build its LNG facility in Lindi with the Tanzania

Petroleum Development Corporation having acquired the title deed for a 2,071Ha parcel of land.

According to TPDC the land location was reached in agreement with international oil companies with interest on the project all of whom have discovered gas reserves off the Indian Ocean coast.

Read:The Ultimate Guide To Participate In Tanzanian Oil and Gas Industry

“Once the project is complete it will enable the production of natural gas  for internal use as well as for export generating much needed foreign exchange,” TPDC said in a statement.

The government has also set aside another 17,000Ha in surrounding areas for development of industrial parks that will purchase the gas from the facility.

The Tanzanian government hasin the past said it plans to spend $6 million in the fiscal year 2015/16 of acquire land for the construction of a liquefied natural gas terminal with the entire project expected to cost over $30 billion.

Lindi is favored as it is close to an offshore deep-sea region where various companies including BG Group, Statoil, ExxonMobil and Ophir Energy have discovered over 50Tcf of natural gas.

A Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the government of Tanzania, the partners in Blocks 1, 3 and 4 and the partners in Block 2 signed in April 2014 covering the site selected for the LNG plant in Lindi.

Tanzania has to date discovered in excess of 50Tcf in the Indian Ocean

Read  alsoMultiple Ways To Invest In Tanzanian Oil and Gas Industry

As hydropower dries up, Tanzania moves towards fossil fuels

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Workers are transferred via a 'Frog' basket from the tugboat Bourbon Auroch, operated by Bourbon SA, onto the deck of the Agbami floating production, storage and offloading vessel (FPSO), operated by Chevron Corp., in the Agbami deepwater oilfield in the Niger Delta, Nigeria, on Monday, Nov. 16, 2015. Nigeria plans to review agreements for deep offshore oil production to seek more favorable terms in line with the latest industry standards, state-owned Nigerian National Petroleum Corp. said. Photographer: George Osodi/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 As drought continues to cripple its hydropower plants, Tanzania is struggling to produce enough electricity — and is moving towards using more fossil fuels to make up the shortfall.

Hydropower plants normally produce about 35% of Tanzania’s electricity needs, with gas and oil plants making up most of the difference.

But as demand grows and water shortages hit hydropower production, Tanesco — the state-run power utility firm — is investing in more fossil fuel plants to maintain its electricity supply.

In October the east African nation was forced to shut down its main hydropower facility for nearly a month because the water level was too low to run the turbines, officials said.

In December, the country’s hydropower plants, which can produce as much as 561 megawatts of power, generated only 110MW, according to Tanesco.

“The main challenge we have been facing is overreliance on hydropower as the major source of electricity, which is hard to maintain due to unpredictable weather,” said Tanesco’s managing director Felchesmi Mramba in an interview.

Solar and wind untapped

While Tanzania has significant untapped renewable energy potential from sources such as geothermal, solar and wind, the government has mostly failed to tap this potential as an alternative to hydropower, said University of Dar es Salaam Institute of Resource Assessment climate change expert Agnes Mwakaje.

However, Tanzania’s minister for energy and minerals Sospeter Muhongo said the government is keen to invest in alternative power production, including using wind and solar, to meet the hydropower shortfall and give hydropower dams time to refill.

Mtera and Kidatu hydropower dams on the Great Ruaha River at one point shut down for three weeks because water levels fell below the minimum required, officials said.

“The water level in most of our hydropower dams is not sufficient to generate electricity, yet there’s nothing we can do other than waiting for the rains to come,” Mr Mramba told the Thomson Reuters Foundation.

The hydropower shortfalls have led Tanesco to suffer losses of about 500 million Tanzanian shillings ($230,000) daily, Mr Mramba said.

In an effort to find a more reliable mix of energy sources, Tanesco is now building more gas-fired power plants, and looking at other renewable energy sources to supply the national grid.

“We are hoping to reduce hydropower dependence to 15% once our gas-fired plants become fully operational,” Mr Mramba said. According to Tanesco, gas power plants could provide 60% of the country’s electricity needs.

Tanzania’s government last year launched an electricity supply “roadmap” that aims to boost generating capacity from about 1,590MW today to 10,800MW in a decade, largely by building more gas and coal power plants.

Analysts say diversifying power sources is crucial to avoiding shortages like that caused by the current drought.

“Tanesco must use an energy mix in the order of priority to include natural gas, coal, hydro and renewables if it has to make electricity generation sustainable,” said an economics professor at the University of Dar es Salaam, Haji Semboja.

“Natural gas can keep electricity flowing when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind fails to blow. You can switch it on and off pretty quickly,” he said.

Tanzania might also consider importing electricity from large-scale hydropower projects in Ethiopia, Mr Muhongo said.

Dirty but cheap

Although Tanzania has for many years depended on hydropower, the country’s electricity generation has moved increasingly towards gas over the last decade after off-shore gas deposits were discovered near Mtwara on the southeast coast.

Today, oil and gas facilities account for 63% of the country’s power generating capacity, compared to 36% for hydropower, the government said.

Tanzania has more than 58-trillion cubic feet of gas, equivalent to 9.2-billion barrels of oil, according to the Ministry of Energy and Minerals. The country also has 1.9-billion tons of coal that could be used to generate electricity, the ministry said.

Ministry officials say that Tanzania, facing power shortages, should consider increasing its use of coal to produce electricity, even though burning coal is a major driver of climate change.

“It is the dirtiest but cheapest source of energy. Many countries are still producing their electricity almost entirely from coal. So why not Tanzania?” asked Ministry of Energy and Minerals commissioner for petroleum and energy Hosea Mbise.

But the government is also planning to use some solar, wind and geothermal power in its energy mix. A $132-million, 50MW wind facility is being built, Mr Mbise said, and the country hopes to win funding from the African Development Bank to develop geothermal plants.

About 36% of Tanzanians have access to electricity, and only 7% of those are in rural areas, according to the ministry. It said demand for electricity is growing by between 10% and 15% a year.

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